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Golden Globes 2021: Final Nomination Predictions for Film

February 3, 2021
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Golden Globes 2021: Final Nomination Predictions for Film
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Because the movie awards season continues to take form on this unconventional yr, the Hollywood Overseas Press Affiliation’s 72nd annual Golden Globes will probably be one of many first huge needle movers for contenders. For movies, the voting physique has a possibility to acknowledge a bigger group of movies and performances with its comedy and drama splits among the many classes.

This yr, movies like “The Trial of the Chicago 7” and “Mank,” each from Netflix, may lead the tally, at present predicted for 5 nominations, which might mirror the identical nomination tally as final yr’s “The Irishman” from Martin Scorsese.

There doesn’t appear to be one movie that would dominate with a wide-open yr that would dominate, as seen in earlier years, or long-standing information being damaged. At the moment, Robert Altman’s “Nashville” has probably the most nominations ever obtained with 11. Except you’re predicting 5 males from Sorkin’s “Trial of the Chicago 7” taking on all accessible slots in greatest supporting actor, no movie seems anyplace close to touching this report.

Nevertheless, Sacha Baron Cohen can break a report held by Jamie Foxx for receiving probably the most Golden Globe nominations in a single yr. Foxx was nominated for 3 in 2004 for his performances in “Collateral,” “Ray” and “Redemption: The Stan Tookie Story.” Cohen may obtain as much as 5 nominations for greatest image (comedy for “Borat”), actor (comedy for “Borat”), supporting actor (for “The Trial of the Chicago 7”), screenplay (co-writing “Borat”) and unique music (co-writing “Wuhan Flu”). He’s at present predicted to obtain two.

Down beneath, you’ll find the ultimate Golden Globe nomination predictions in all of the movie classes.

MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

  • “The Father” (Sony Photos Classics)
  • “Nomadland” (Searchlight Photos)
  • “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” (Netflix)
  • “Mank” (Netflix)
  • “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)

ALTERNATE: “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)

“Nomadland” has dominated the critics’ awards and may discover its place among the many nominated movies. This might simply turn into a spot the place Netflix takes up the remaining spots with their arsenal of movies this yr. “Mank,” “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” and “The Trial of the Chicago 7” appear to be protected bets, however one thing with the European sensibilities like “The Father” may take one of many spots. It’s additionally rumored that the group actually digs “Judas and the Black Messiah” and “The US vs. Billie Vacation,” which we shouldn’t low cost. The latter may emulate a former nominee like “Bohemian Rhapsody,” which received the class. I even have a sneaking suspicion that would see a tie happen, which might lead to six nominees, one thing that hasn’t occurred since 2011, the place “The Descendants” triumphed. It’s additionally necessary to notice, simply because movies like “One Night time in Miami,” “Promising Younger Lady” and “Sound of Metallic” are predicted to overlook, and are ranked on the decrease aspect of the charts, keep in mind that movies like “Capote,” “Extraordinarily Loud & Extremely Shut” and an eventual greatest image winner “Crash” all discovered greatest image recognition with out love from the HFPA.

MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

  • “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios)
  • “Hamilton” (Disney Plus)
  • “On the Rocks” (A24/Apple TV Plus)
  • “Palm Springs” (Hulu/Neon)
  • “The Promenade” (Netflix)

ALTERNATE: “The Private Historical past of David Copperfield” (Searchlight Photos)

There are two musicals from streamers within the combine, “Hamilton” from Disney Plus and “The Promenade” from Netflix, that appear like assured spots. Concurrently, the laughs of “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm,” together with possible having the 2 frontrunners of the Globes appearing classes, will certainly hold it within the dialog. “On the Rocks” and “Palm Springs” might be the strongest candidates for the ultimate slots, however the European taste of “The Private Historical past of David Copperfield” or the sheer star-power of “Wild Mountain Thyme” may get it over the hump. What’s fascinating is, not less than for the predicting second, we could not have a greatest image nominee come out of the highest comedy class, which hadn’t occurred since 2009 when “The Hangover” reigned supreme.

MOTION PICTURE – ANIMATED

  • “Onward” (Pixar)
  • “Over the Moon” (Netflix)
  • “Soul” (Pixar)
  • “The Willoughbys” (Netflix)
  • “Wolfwalkers” (Apple TV Plus/GKIDS)

ALTERNATE: “The Croods: A New Age” (DreamWorks Animation)

The HFPA likes to usually follow the populist choices on this class since its creation in 2006. There have been 17 options submitted, as in comparison with the Academy’s 27, so this falls throughout the huge 4 default selections — “Onward,” “Over the Moon,” “Soul” and “Wolfwalkers.” That final spot might be sprinkled with both “The Croods: A New Age” or “The Willoughbys,” the latter of which I’m giving the sting to. I additionally wouldn’t rely out “Trolls: World Tour.”

MOTION PICTURE – FOREIGN LANGUAGE

  • “One other Spherical” (Denmark)
  • “La Llorona” (Guatemala)
  • “The Life Forward” (Italy)
  • “Minari” (USA)
  • “Two Of Us” (France)

ALTERNATE: “I’m No Longer Right here” (Mexico)

This class shouldn’t be normally a powerful indicator for the Academy Awards as they don’t simply think about the nation submissions, but additionally all international language movies. There has already been numerous controversy surrounding “Minari” being submitted on this class by A24 as a result of HFPA’s guidelines relating to languages. It could have helped it outdoors the class with contenders like Yuh-Jung Youn and Steven Yeun. Anticipate to see Sophia Loren’s star car, “The Life Forward,” to make an entry, particularly since Italy’s official submission “Notturno” shouldn’t be eligible as a result of its documentary standing. Movies like “One other Spherical” and “Two of Us” ought to discover their manner pretty simply, but it surely’ll be fascinating if “I’m No Longer Right here” or “La Llorona” get a spot that looks like it will probably go to a Spanish talking function.

BEST ACTOR – DRAMA

  • Riz Ahmed, “Sound of Metallic” (Amazon Studios)
  • Chadwick Boseman, “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” (Netflix)
  • Anthony Hopkins, “The Father” (Sony Photos Classics)
  • Delroy Lindo, “Da 5 Bloods” (Netflix)
  • Mads Mikkelsen, “One other Spherical” (Samuel Goldwyn Movies)

ALTERNATE: Ben Affleck, “The Approach Again” (Warner Bros.)

That is the place it will probably get fascinating as 4 of the anticipated nominees really feel protected for some love — Riz Ahmed, Chadwick Boseman, Anthony Hopkins and Delroy Lindo. That seemingly final spot may go to quite a lot of people. There’s an opportunity for European stars such because the at present predicted Mads Mikkelsen (“One other Spherical”) to pop up, who additionally has the most effective probability of any submitted worldwide function to seek out recognition outdoors the Oscars class. Colin Firth (“Supernova”), Jude Legislation (“The Nest”) and Tahar Rahim (“The Mauritanian”) additionally appear viable. Then there’s the star energy of contenders like Ben Affleck (“The Approach Again”), George Clooney (“The Midnight Sky”), Tom Hanks (“Information of the World”) or one from the Washington household, John David (“Malcolm & Marie”) or Denzel (“The Little Issues”).

BEST ACTOR – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

  • Sacha Baron Cohen, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios)
  • Jamie Dornan, “Wild Mountain Thyme” (Bleecker Road)
  • Leslie Odom, Jr, “Hamilton” (Disney Plus)
  • Dev Patel, “The Private Historical past of David Copperfield” (Searchlight Photos)
  • Andy Samberg, “Palm Springs” (Hulu/Neon)

ALTERNATE: Will Ferrell, “Eurovision Track Contest: The Story of Fireplace Saga” (Netflix)

Sacha Baron Cohen received this award in 2006 for the primary outing of “Borat.” He’ll be the primary actor since Johnny Depp (“Pirates of the Caribbean: Lifeless Man’s Chest”) to be nominated for a sequel efficiency, which coincidentally occurred the yr Cohen received. Doing a look, if Cohen manages to win on this class, he could be the primary within the class’s historical past to win for a sequel and its predecessor. The remainder of the contenders is fluid as alternates like Will Ferrell (as soon as nominated for “The Producers”), Lin-Manuel Miranda (former nominee for “Mary Poppins Returns”) and potential first-timers Michael Angelo Covino and James Corden may make some noise.

BEST ACTRESS – DRAMA

  • Viola Davis, “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside” (Netflix)
  • Andra Day, “The US vs. Billie Vacation” (Hulu)
  • Vanessa Kirby, “Items of a Lady” (Netflix)
  • Frances McDormand, “Nomadland” (Searchlight Photos)
  • Carey Mulligan, “Promising Younger Lady” (Focus Options)

ALTERNATE: Zendaya, “Malcolm & Marie” (Netflix)

That is the toughest class to foretell of the movie bunch. Davis and McDormand really feel safe. There have been some rumblings about members of the HFPA probably not liking “Promising Younger Lady,” which makes us a tad apprehensive for Carey Mulligan, however we count on her to drag via. I additionally heard the group is loving “The US vs. Billie Vacation,” which may assist Andra Day make an entry. That leaves three Netflix contenders with Sophia Loren (“The Life Forward”), Vanessa Kirby (“Items of a Lady”) and Zendaya (“Malcolm & Marie”) to wiggle their manner via, assuming the rumors are appropriate. Maybe that is one other spot the place six nominees present up, like on the Unbiased Spirit Awards?

BEST ACTRESS – COMEDY OR MUSICAL

  • Maria Bakalova, “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” (Amazon Studios)
  • Emily Blunt, “Wild Mountain Thyme” (Bleecker Road)
  • Meryl Streep, “The Promenade” (Netflix)
  • Michelle Pfeiffer, “French Exit” (Sony Photos Classics)
  • Anya Taylor-Pleasure, “Emma.” (Focus Options)

ALTERNATE: Rashida Jones, “On the Rocks” (A24/Apple TV Plus)

One of many darlings of the awards circuit, Maria Bakalova, could also be closely within the working to win this class, which might make her the primary since Maggie Smith (“California Suite”) to win this award and go on to be nominated within the supporting class. That’s assuming the Oscar love is actual. Meryl Streep might be a double risk, like in 2009 when she received for “Julie and Julia” and was additionally nominated for “It’s Sophisticated.” This yr, she has “The Promenade” and Steven Soderbergh’s “Let Them All Speak.” After Emily Blunt obtained nods for “Salmon Fishing within the Yemen” and “The Younger Victoria,” it’s simple that the group loves her. Once more, enjoying to European tastes, Anya Taylor-Pleasure may squeeze out a nom for her flip in “Emma.”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – MOTION PICTURE

  • Kingsley Ben-Adir, “One Night time in Miami” (Amazon Studios)
  • Chadwick Boseman, “Da 5 Bloods” (Netflix)
  • Daniel Kaluuya, “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)
  • Invoice Murray, “On the Rocks” (A24/Apple TV Plus)
  • Leslie Odom Jr, “One Night time in Miami” (Amazon Studios)

ALTERNATE: Paul Raci, “Sound of Metallic” (Amazon Studios)

That is the place issues may get loopy within the awards race. The HFPA shouldn’t be all the time nice at selecting out massive ensembles’ standout, confirmed by the shutout of “Highlight” within the appearing class in 2015. We’ve just a few of these this yr with “One Night time in Miami” and “The Trial of the Chicago 7.” With the previous, I’m suspecting Kingsley Ben-Adir to pop up with a point out, which can absolutely muddy his awards prospects since he’s lead for SAG and the Oscars. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him in lieu of co-star Leslie Odom Jr, who additionally might be nominated within the comedy class for “Hamilton.” The love for Sorkin’s movie is huge throughout the HFPA, with many standouts being cited, together with Cohen, Frank Langella, Mark Rylance and Yahya Abdul-Mateen II. They could cancel one another out, making room for Invoice Murray, who’s been nominated many occasions, together with a win for “Misplaced in Translation.” Phrase via the grapevine additionally means that “Judas and the Black Messiah” is cherished by them, which may begin up the Daniel Kaluuya practice to the Academy. And let’s not neglect, this may be the official start line for first-time double posthumous nominee Chadwick Boseman. With star energy all the time an element with the L.A.-based journalists, I really feel that would depart our season sweeper Paul Raci on the skin (not less than only for the Globes).

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – MOTION PICTURE

  • Ellen Burstyn, “Items of a Lady” (Netflix)
  • Olivia Colman, “The Father” (Sony Photos Classics)
  • Jodie Foster, “The Mauritanian” (STXfilms)
  • Amanda Seyfried, “Mank” (Netflix)
  • Yuh-Jung Youn, “Minari” (A24)

ALTERNATE: Nicole Kidman, “The Promenade” (Netflix)

Colman, Seyfried and Youn really feel protected. Burstyn might be susceptible if we’re in retailer for a shutout of “Items of a Lady” like on the Unbiased Spirit Awards. That might release a spot or two for Jodie Foster, former Cecil B. Demille recipient, or Nicole Kidman, who they adore. This additionally might be a spot that provides hope to Glenn Shut (“Hillbilly Elegy”) or Saoirse Ronan’s (“Ammonite”) Oscar prospects, if they will handle a point out. On the subject of this class on the Globes, they have an inclination to remain throughout the realm of purpose for contenders, even when their eventual nominees don’t translate (for instance, Jennifer Lopez for “Hustlers” or Claire Foy for “First Man”). They have an inclination to really feel like they had been within the quantity 6-7-8 spot of contender listings.

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE

  • George Clooney, “The Midnight Sky” (Netflix)
  • David Fincher, “Mank” (Netflix)
  • Spike Lee, “Da 5 Bloods” (Netflix)
  • Aaron Sorkin, “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix)
  • Chloé Zhao, “Nomadland” (Searchlight Photos)

ALTERNATE: Florian Zeller, “The Father” (Sony Photos Classics)

Final yr’s Globes lineup for director matched 5/5 with the Academy, even when many thought Todd Phillips appeared like a protracted shot. However that match up doesn’t occur too usually because the final time was with the 1980 movie yr (David Lynch, Roman Polanski, Robert Redford, Richard Rush, Martin Scorsese). In between, we normally get some huge names like Peter Jackson (“King Kong”), which explains George Clooney’s prediction. Additionally they love David Fincher, beforehand nominating him for “Gone Lady” and “The Lady With the Dragon Tattoo.” From time to time, we get a lone director within the lineup like Ridley Scott (“All of the Cash within the World”) or Tom Ford (“Nocturnal Animals”). That might be Spike Lee this yr if “Da 5 Bloods” misses one of many accessible locations. Whereas many cross their fingers that Chloé Zhao will proceed her streak with a nomination, she would be the first Asian girl to be nominated by the Globes, however received’t maintain the identical distinction on the Oscars as the primary girl of colour. Ava DuVernay was nominated for “Selma” in 2014. It must be famous, although, the HFPA has nonetheless solely awarded one girl on this class in its historical past — Barbra Streisand for 1983’s “Yentl,” and she or he didn’t get nominated for an Oscar. It’s gone the time to shut that 37-year hole. Let me additionally placed on the report — be careful for Christopher Nolan (“Tenet”).

BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE

  • “Da 5 Bloods” (Netflix) – Danny Bilson, Paul De Meo, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
  • “Mank” (Netflix) – Jack Fincher
  • “Minari” (A24) – Lee Isaac Chung
  • “Nomadland” (Searchlight Photos) – Chloé Zhao
  • “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix) – Aaron Sorkin

ALTERNATE: “The Father” (Sony Photos Classics) – Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller

They love Aaron Sorkin, plain and easy. Each function script he’s written has been nominated by the HFPA, besides 1993’s “Malice.” He’s a shoo-in for a nomination right here. Because the class doesn’t separate primarily based on unique or tailored works, historical past has favored the previous contenders. Anticipate some love for Fincher’s late father, Jack, together with a potential spot for Lee Isaac Chung.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE

  • “Mank” (Netflix) – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
  • “Information of the World” (Common Photos) – James Newton Howard
  • “Soul” (Pixar) – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, Jon Batiste
  • “Tenet” (Warner Bros.) – Ludwig Göransson
  • “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix) – Daniel Pemberton

ALTERNATE: “The Midnight Sky” (Netflix) – Alexandre Desplat

One of many clear indicators of proof on how this group differs from the Academy, particularly with the music department. During the last decade, seven of the winners have received the Oscar, which is a powerful indicator. Nevertheless, there are different situations the place the winner fails to get nominated like “All is Misplaced” and “First Man.” Even Alexandre Desplat’s Oscar-winning “The Grand Budapest Resort” was snubbed by the HFPA, although his different nominated work on “The Imitation Recreation” was shortlisted. Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross have received this race earlier than and have managed two different nominations, all for Fincher movies. Anticipate a double nomination for them this yr, not less than with the Globes, for “Mank” and “Soul.” The group additionally likes Daniel Pemberton fairly a bit, as he’s been nominated thrice regardless of by no means receiving AMPAS love. Ludwig Göransson appears like somebody that may get a nomination however can’t work out if it will likely be right here or in unique music (“The Plan” from “Tenet”). Flipping a coin appears like he might be right here.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE

  • “Battle for You” from “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.) – H.E.R., Dernst Emile II, Tiara Thomas
  • “Io Si (Seen)” from “The Life Forward” (Netflix) – Diane Warren, Laura Pausini, Niccolò Agliardi
  • “Converse Now” from “One Night time in Miami” (Amazon Studios) – Leslie Odom Jr, Sam Ashworth
  • “All people Cries” from “The Outpost” (Hen Soup for the Soul Leisure) – Rod Lurie, Larry Groupé, Rita Wilson
  • “Hear My Voice” from “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix) – Daniel Pemberton, Celeste

ALTERNATE: “Húsavík” from “Eurovision Track Contest: The Story of Fireplace Saga” (Netflix) – Savan Kotecha, Rickard Goransson, fats max Gsus

That is the one HFPA class the place it’s troublesome to comply with the historical past that would present eventual nominees hints. They clearly have chosen the Oscar frontrunners (like “Metropolis of Stars” from “La La Land”), chart-topping pop songs (“Skyfall” from “Skyfall”), and others that, fairly frankly, can’t be defined (like “Masterpiece” from “W.E.”). It appears to all boil all the way down to, comply with the well-known folks. H.E.R., Diane Warren, Leslie Odom Jr really feel like these choices, and in addition can translate to the Academy. “The Outpost” appears like that shock entry on the day whereas the Daniel Pemberton love seems applicable, particularly contemplating he was nominated for “Gold.”

2021 Golden Globes Predictions (Movie)

2020-2021 Golden Globes Awards Timeline

  • Nominations for the 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards are introduced at 8:35 a.m. ET / 5:35 a.m. PT – Feb. 3, 2021
  • Ultimate ballots mailed to all HFPA members by Ernst & Younger – Feb. 23, 2021
  • 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards will air reside coast to coast at 8:00 p.m. ET / 5:00 p.m. PT on NBC from The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California – Feb. 28, 2021

 

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